Miguel Vargas — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Miguel Vargas projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
No graded plays on Miguel Vargas yet under the current model (since Jul 28, 2026) — the prior-model record below stays visible, never deleted.
0 graded plays on Miguel Vargas under the current model. Prior model: 1-2, -0.74u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-2, -0.74u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Current projections vs the line
Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.
Graded history — every era (3: 0 current model, 3 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.75 | 2 | Win | +1.26u |
| Jul 22 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.92 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 17 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.88 | 1 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.