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Julio Rodriguez — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Julio Rodriguez projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

0-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
-1.00uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Julio Rodriguez under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-0, +0.74u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-1, -0.26u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
1our projection (est.)
66%calibrated chance to hit
-177best price · ballybet
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.23our projection (est.)
87%calibrated chance to hit
-800best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.51our projection (est.)
71%calibrated chance to hit
-235best price · betmgm
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.75our projection (est.)
61%calibrated chance to hit
-165best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (2: 1 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 2CurrentUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.372Loss-1.00u
Jul 19PreviousUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.461Win+0.74u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Julio Rodriguez Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports