Josh Smith — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Josh Smith projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
2 graded plays on Josh Smith under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-1, -0.17u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-3, -2.17u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (4: 2 current model, 2 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.53 | 1 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Aug 7 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.56 | 3 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 27 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Hits | 0.75 | 1 | Win | +0.83u |
| Jul 26 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.07 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.