StatIQPregame to final — all in one place

Josh Naylor — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Josh Naylor projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

No graded plays on Josh Naylor yet under the current model (since Jul 28, 2026) — the prior-model record below stays visible, never deleted.

0 graded plays on Josh Naylor under the current model. Prior model: 1-0, +0.50u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-0, +0.50u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
1.05our projection (est.)
62%calibrated chance to hit
-148best price · ballybet
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.12our projection (est.)
92%calibrated chance to hit
-1600best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.39our projection (est.)
75%calibrated chance to hit
-325best price · betmgm
OVER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
1.62our projection (est.)
62%calibrated chance to hit
-179best price · williamhill_us

Graded history — every era (1: 0 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Jul 27PreviousOVER 0.5 Hits1.081Win+0.50u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Josh Naylor Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports