Jonathan Aranda — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Jonathan Aranda projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
4 graded plays on Jonathan Aranda under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 0-1, -1.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 4-1, +1.28u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (5: 4 current model, 1 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4 | Current | UNDER 1.5 Hits | 1.03 | 1 | Win | +0.67u |
| Aug 2 | Current | UNDER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.24 | 1 | Win | +0.56u |
| Jul 30 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 1.06 | 1 | Win | +0.54u |
| Jul 28 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 1.1 | 2 | Win | +0.50u |
| Jul 17 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.85 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.