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Jared Triolo — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Jared Triolo projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

3-0current model (W-L)
hit rate
+3.65uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

3 graded plays on Jared Triolo under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-0, +0.77u — kept, unedited. All-time: 4-0, +4.42u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.47our projection (est.)
43%calibrated chance to hit
+140best price · betparx
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0our projection (est.)
95%calibrated chance to hit
-3500best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.18our projection (est.)
77%calibrated chance to hit
-300best price · betmgm
UNDER 0.5 Total BasesLogged before tip
0.54our projection (est.)
43%calibrated chance to hit
+140best price · betparx

Graded history — every era (4: 3 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 9CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.470Win+1.35u
Aug 6CurrentUNDER 0.5 Total Bases0.590Win+1.10u
Aug 5CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.550Win+1.20u
Jul 24PreviousOVER 0.5 Total Bases1.151Win+0.77u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Jared Triolo Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports