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Colson Montgomery — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Colson Montgomery projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-0current model (W-L)
hit rate
+0.77uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Colson Montgomery under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-0, +0.67u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-0, +1.44u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.76our projection (est.)
59%calibrated chance to hit
-130best price · prophetx
See it at prophetx
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.17our projection (est.)
85%calibrated chance to hit
-455best price · betparx
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.6our projection (est.)
67%calibrated chance to hit
-220best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
OVER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
1.38our projection (est.)
56%calibrated chance to hit
-135best price · betmgm

Graded history — every era (2: 1 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 12CurrentUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.381Win+0.77u
Jul 19PreviousOVER 0.5 Hits0.852Win+0.67u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Colson Montgomery Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports