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CJ Abrams — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our CJ Abrams projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
-0.43uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

2 graded plays on CJ Abrams under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 4-1, +3.62u — kept, unedited. All-time: 5-2, +3.19u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
0.95our projection (est.)
68%calibrated chance to hit
-233best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.18our projection (est.)
83%calibrated chance to hit
-471best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.67our projection (est.)
66%calibrated chance to hit
-200best price · betmgm
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.74our projection (est.)
56%calibrated chance to hit
-125best price · novig

Graded history — every era (7: 2 current model, 5 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 1CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits1.311Win+0.57u
Jul 28CurrentOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.971Loss-1.00u
Jul 27PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases3.220Loss-1.00u
Jul 26PreviousOVER 0.5 Hits1.443Win+0.52u
Jul 25PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.587Win+1.30u
Jul 24PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.542Win+1.35u
Jul 17PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.682Win+1.45u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

CJ Abrams Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports