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Bryan Reynolds — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Bryan Reynolds projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-0current model (W-L)
hit rate
+0.63uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Bryan Reynolds under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-1, +0.56u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-1, +1.19u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
0.91our projection (est.)
66%calibrated chance to hit
-194best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.09our projection (est.)
92%calibrated chance to hit
-1400best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.33our projection (est.)
71%calibrated chance to hit
-245best price · novig
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesLogged before tip
1.36our projection (est.)
62%calibrated chance to hit
-150best price · novig

Graded history — every era (3: 1 current model, 2 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 5CurrentUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.291Win+0.63u
Jul 19PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.890Loss-1.00u
Jul 18PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.733Win+1.56u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Bryan Reynolds Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports