Brett Baty — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Brett Baty projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
2-3current model (W-L)
—hit rate
-0.70uunits (flat 1u)
—return per play
5 graded plays on Brett Baty under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (5: 5 current model)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.55 | 0 | Win | +1.05u |
| Aug 9 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.59 | 0 | Win | +1.25u |
| Aug 7 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.67 | 1 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Aug 1 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 0.75 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 31 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 0.8 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.