StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Matthew Golden Projections

GB · WR · #0
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TB
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.3receptions projected vs TB
Season average 5 · Last five 3.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023576MIN4NYJ5ATLStatIQ projection 3.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 25, 2026vs vs ATL5
Sep 20, 2026@ @ NYJ4
Sep 13, 2026@ @ MIN6
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Matthew Golden
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Matthew Golden trending lately?3.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Matthew Golden, 3.3 receptions

StatIQ projects Matthew Golden for 3.3 receptions against TB in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Matthew Golden has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Matthew Golden’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TB
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
3.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Matthew Golden vs TB?

StatIQ projects Matthew Golden for 3.3 receptions against TB in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Matthew Golden performed in receptions recently?

Matthew Golden has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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