StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Kenny Gainwell Projections

TB · RB · #1
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs GB
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
2.5receptions projected vs GB
Season average 2 · Last five 3.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
012331CIN3CLE2MINStatIQ projection 2.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs MIN2
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CLE3
Sep 13, 2026@ @ CIN1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Kenny Gainwell
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Kenny Gainwell done against GB?2 per game1 game vs GBExplore this question

Projection context: Kenny Gainwell, 2.5 receptions

StatIQ projects Kenny Gainwell for 2.5 receptions against GB in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Kenny Gainwell has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against GB. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Kenny Gainwell’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
GB
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
3.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Kenny Gainwell vs GB?

StatIQ projects Kenny Gainwell for 2.5 receptions against GB in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Kenny Gainwell performed in receptions recently?

Kenny Gainwell has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against GB. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of GB vs TB
the whole game
See the full NFL slate