StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jonnu Smith Projections

GB · TE · #18
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TB
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
24.5receiving yards projected vs TB
Season average 33 · Last five 17.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01428425650MIN0NYJ16ATLStatIQ projection 24.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 25, 2026vs vs ATL16
Sep 20, 2026@ @ NYJ0
Sep 13, 2026@ @ MIN50
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jonnu Smith
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jonnu Smith trending lately?17.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jonnu Smith, 24.5 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Jonnu Smith for 24.5 receiving yards against TB in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jonnu Smith has averaged 17.2 yards over his last 5 games and 33 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jonnu Smith’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TB
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
17.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Jonnu Smith vs TB?

StatIQ projects Jonnu Smith for 24.5 yards receiving yards against TB in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jonnu Smith performed in receiving yards recently?

Jonnu Smith has averaged 17.2 yards over his last 5 games and 33 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of GB vs TB
the whole game
See the full NFL slate