StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Max Scherzer

Toronto Blue Jays · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 14.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 15.2
09-16vs DET15
09-11vs BAL15
09-05@ KC17
08-30vs SEA21
08-25vs KC15
08-19@ TB12
08-13vs BOS15
08-08@ PHI16
08-02vs STL18
07-27@ WSH8

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Outs Recorded15.4 we project
Strikeouts4.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

No graded projections yet.

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
09-16vs DETW 5-15.0311033311732057.0W(3-8)-6.07
09-11vs BALL 7-45.0766113316832331.0L(2-8)-6.38
09-05@ KCW 4-35.2533112515762448.0--6.03
08-30vs SEAW 7-07.01000110210972384.0W(2-7)-6.16
08-25vs KCL 5-35.042205477922350.0L(1-7)-7.02
08-19@ TBL 7-64.057713189732122.0L(1-6)-7.40
08-13vs BOSL 7-05.031102459922059.0L(1-5)-6.59
08-08@ PHIW 7-5 F/115.1522204512842154.0--7.25
08-02vs STLL 5-16.041101589842364.0--7.92
07-27@ WSHW 3-22.241103444751547.0--9.49
06-10vs PHIL 7-43.155523465821831.0L(1-4)-10.23
04-24vs CLEL 8-62.167733058821614.0L(1-3)-9.64
04-19@ ARIL 6-26.0522011713742254.0--7.16
04-12vs MINL 8-22.158822318681516.0L(1-2)-9.58
04-06vs LADL 14-22.02221120636945.0L(1-1)-3.38
03-31vs COLW 5-16.0411114512832263.0W(1-0)-1.50