StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Josh Bell

Minnesota Twins · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20@ LAA3
09-20@ LAA2
09-19@ LAA1
09-18@ LAA1
09-16vs NYY1
09-15vs NYY0
09-14vs NYY2
09-12vs CLE0
09-12vs CLE0
09-09@ DET2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.5
Total Bases2±2.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-09Hits1.00+1.0
08-04Total Bases1.25−3.8
07-18Hits1.01−0.0
07-17Total Bases2.01+1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAW 8-0413000210100.258.320.421.741
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11402000000100.254.316.419.735
09-19@ LAAW 3-0401000100000.252.315.418.733
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10501000000100.252.315.419.735
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13501000100100.253.316.421.738
09-15vs NYYL 8-1400000000000.253.317.423.741
09-14vs NYYL 8-3422001100100.255.320.427.746
09-12vs CLEW 4-3300000010300.253.318.420.739
09-12vs CLEL 5-2300000010100.255.319.423.742
09-09@ DETL 7-2412001100000.256.319.425.745
09-08@ DETW 3-2300000100000.254.318.419.737
09-07@ DETL 5-4400000010000.256.320.421.742
09-06@ CHWL 10-1300000000200.258.321.425.746
09-05@ CHWW 6-4412100000000.259.323.427.750
09-04@ CHWL 4-1312001110000.258.322.425.746
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12402000000100.255.319.417.736
09-01vs DETW 15-2321000020200.253.317.416.734
08-31vs DETW 11-1500000000000.253.315.417.732
08-30vs CHWW 5-1412000200010.255.318.421.739
08-29vs CHWL 3-2301000100100.253.316.421.737