StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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George Springer

Toronto Blue Jays · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ TEX0
09-19@ TEX0
09-19@ TEX0
09-16vs DET1
09-15vs DET1
09-14vs DET1
09-13vs BAL2
09-12vs BAL2
09-11vs BAL2
09-09@ ATH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases2±0.2
Hits2±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-26Total Bases1.11+0.1
08-18Hits0.73−2.3
08-11Total Bases1.41+0.4
08-03Hits1.11+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2100000000100.248.323.407.730
09-19@ TEXL 6-2400000000100.249.323.408.731
09-19@ TEXL 7-1400000000100.251.326.412.738
09-16vs DETW 5-1401000100100.253.329.416.744
09-15vs DETL 10-1301000010000.253.329.417.746
09-14vs DETL 6-5221000030000.253.328.418.745
09-13vs BALW 8-1512101400100.252.323.417.740
09-12vs BALW 7-3512000000100.250.322.408.730
09-11vs BALL 7-4502000000000.248.321.408.729
09-09@ ATHL 2-0100000000000.246.320.408.729
09-08@ ATHL 6-5500000000200.247.321.409.730
09-06@ KCL 6-1101000000000.250.325.414.739
09-05@ KCW 4-3410000010010.248.323.413.736
09-05@ KCW 9-2501100200000.251.324.417.741
09-02@ CLEW 11-0411100100100.251.326.417.743
09-01@ CLEL 6-1400000000200.251.327.416.743
08-30vs SEAW 7-0412100000200.254.330.421.750
08-29vs SEAW 4-3301100110010.251.328.417.745
08-28vs SEAW 8-1434101100000.251.326.415.741
08-27vs KCL 13-2312001210000.243.320.398.718