StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20vs KC1
09-19vs KC2
09-18vs KC1
09-17vs MIL1
09-16vs MIL2
09-15vs MIL1
09-13@ CHC1
09-12@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW0
09-09@ CHW2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±0.7
Total Bases2±1.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.22−0.8
09-05Hits1.00+1.0
08-23Hits1.01−0.0
08-19Total Bases1.70+1.7
08-14Hits1.01−0.0
07-31Hits1.13−1.9
07-29Hits1.21+0.2
07-24Total Bases1.60+1.6
07-18Hits1.02−1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3401000010100.262.332.492.824
09-19vs KCW 6-5422001200100.262.332.494.826
09-18vs KCW 8-5511001200200.260.331.488.819
09-17vs MILW 7-4201100111100.261.332.486.817
09-16vs MILL 5-4312001210100.260.329.484.813
09-15vs MILL 5-1511001100200.258.326.477.803
09-13@ CHCW 4-3201000200100.258.327.474.801
09-12@ CHCL 4-3411000010100.257.327.474.801
09-10@ CHWW 2-0400000000100.257.326.476.802
09-09@ CHWW 4-2402000010200.259.328.479.808
09-08@ CHWW 9-3422000010000.258.326.479.805
09-06vs LAAW 1-0302000000000.256.324.479.803
09-05vs LAAL 6-1200000000100.253.322.478.800
09-04vs LAAW 1-0401000000200.254.323.480.803
09-03vs SFW 5-2300000010000.254.324.482.805
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10401100010000.256.324.484.808
09-01vs SFW 13-12634001100000.256.323.484.808
08-30@ STLW 5-4412100100100.251.320.476.796
08-29@ STLW 6-2321001120200.249.318.474.792
08-29@ STLL 4-1100000000100.248.316.469.785